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Poker Betting Patterns and What They Mean at the Tables
German neurologist Klaus Conrad coined the term apophenia in 1958, which is now commonly used to describe the phenomenon of humans' tendency to see patterns in otherwise random information. Apophenia is often the downfall of many a gambler, especially those who believe they are seeing patterns at the roulette wheel. However, spotting patterns in your opponents' betting at the poker tables, particularly in the online poker world, is very real and crucial to your success.
Live poker players have a distinct advantage over their online poker counterparts in that they physically see their opponents. Sitting across from a foe at a PartyPoker LIVE event lets you pick up on any potential poker tells whenever your opponent acts. For example, you can see clear as day if a player's hands shake when they put chips into the pot or look pained in their decision-making. Online poker players enjoying the exciting poker games at PartyPoker do not have this luxury. Instead, they rely on picking up and acting on betting patterns governed by some key factors, including:
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How the preflop betting round progressed
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Their opponent's playing style
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The size of the bet their opponent makes
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How quickly an opponent checks, bets, or raises
Although every poker player is different, which is one of the great features of poker, there are some general, sweeping statements regarding betting. Checks tend to indicate weakness, while bets and raises imply strength. In addition, performing any of these actions quickly is a sign of weakness, while pondering their options before acting conveys strength. Of course, wily, savvy players use these generalisations in reverse to throw you off the scent, but those statements are, on the whole, accurate. With that in mind, let's look at some of the most common poker betting patterns you will see at PartyPoker and what they usually mean about your opponent's hand strength.
The Instant Preflop Call
It makes sense to start our poker betting patterns article with the first betting round in a Texas Hold'em game: preflop. Instantly calling a preflop raise almost always indicates a mediocre hand for your opponent. Hands to expect your opponent to show up with include small to middle pairs that they hope flop a set, a suited connector of the same strength, or a weaker Broadway hand such as king-ten or king-jack.
They quickly call because they want to see a flop and see how the hand progresses. If they held a strong hand, one would expect them to consider the size of their three-bet or re-raise. It is a reliable timing tell in online and live poker realms.
The Continuation Bet
A continuation bet is when you or another player raises preflop and then makes another bet on the flop. The flop bet continues from where the preflop betting ended, hence the name continuation bet. Continuation bets, or C-bets for short, are a powerful tool in a poker player's arsenal because they project strength. A c-bettor has raised preflop (saying they have a strong hand) and is now betting with the first three community cards on the board, stating they are still happy with their holding. According to the excellent, free poker training tool MyGame, built into the PartyPoker software, players should look to continue betting on the flop between 58-70% of the time. Give much credit to an opponent that rarely c-bets but comes out firing on the flop and less credit to someone that c-bets all the time.
The "Donk" Flop Bet
A "donk" bet is designed to spoil a continuation bettors party! Donk betting is leading into the preflop raiser, usually with a relatively small probing bet. You raise from the cutoff, an opponent in the big blind calls, and then leads out on the flop. Donk bets are almost always weak hands with an element of having a draw. Consider this action logically and put yourself in the big blind's shoes. If you called a preflop raise, flopped a strong hand, and knew the initial raiser would fire a continuation bet 58-70% of the time, would you lead into them or check-raise the inevitable incoming c-bet? There you have your answer.
The Small Lead Into You on the Turn or River
We have all been in a hand where we have raised preflop and a player called. That player then check-calls your continuation bet on the flop before firing a strange, small bet at you on the turn. Sometimes, they check-call the turn only to lead into you on the river. What hands are they doing this with, and why do they make this play?
Bets such as these are known as blocker bets and are designed to slow down an opponent and get to a showdown cheaply. Players make blocker bets to give the impression they have connected with the board. They make this bet to set you the price, usually because they do not want to face a substantial bet on the turn or river. It should be evident that your opponents make this play with a less-than-stellar holding. However, if you raise a blocking bet and that opponent comes over the top with a raise of their own, you should be highly weary unless they are a total maniac player.
Flop and Turn Check-Raises
A flop check-raise is a powerful yet often risky defence against a late position raiser and habitual continuation bettor. Players tend to make a flop check-raise on draw-heavy boards knowing that future streets will be a minefield for you to navigate. Likewise, many players like a flop check-raise on boards with low cards or paired boards. Your opponent's playing style comes into play here. Give more credit to a tighter opponent, especially one that does not play overly aggressively, than a loose-aggressive player. Flop check-raises usually are an exercise in pot and implied pot odds.
Turn check-raises, particularly at lower stakes, and scream from the rooftops that your opponent is strong. Several years ago, high-stakes cash game player Andrew Seidman, known as "BalugaWhale", wrote about the Baluga Theorem. In a nutshell, it states you should strongly re-evaluate one-pair hands when an opponent check-raises or raises on the turn. Of course, strong players use this knowledge as a powerful bluff, but those players are rare in lower-stakes games.
River Check-Raises and Raises
Like the turn check-raise, a check-raise on the river is almost always a hand of supreme strength. This is particularly true of your opponent who has check-called on previous streets. Your opponent's check-calling is slow-playing a monster hand, and you have taken the bait. It is common for a player to turn up with the nuts in this spot. Again, higher-stakes regulars can turn a mediocre hand into a bluff raise on the river, but most low-stakes grinders' bets mean when they indicate.
Other Betting Patterns To Look For
There are many other bets, or lack of them, to be aware of at the tables that convey information about how your opponent approaches the game or their possible holdings. For example, a player that frequently calls a preflop raise only to check-fold on the flop can be considered cautious. They only continue once they have a piece of the board, so you can alter your approach once they call your bet on the flop.
Also, players that raise preflop, bet the flop and turn, only to check the river, have either missed the board with a hand such as ace-king or ace-queen or have a medium-strength hand that they are terrified of being raised on the river.
As with everything in poker, be observant and take notes on your opponents, especially if something seems out of the ordinary. If a player that always folds to a flop c-bet suddenly calls, note what cards they show at showdown. Build a portfolio of information about your opponents and use it to your advantage at the tables.
Poker Betting FAQ
Q: Are poker betting patterns reliable?
A: Poker betting patterns become more reliable after seeing them several times. Take notes on your opponent and see if they are giving away information with their various bets or checks.
Q: What is a continuation bet in poker?
A: A player that raises preflop and then bets again on the flop when checked to have made a continuation bet. Sometimes, preflop raisers check behind on the flop only to come out firing on the turn, known as a delayed continuation bet.
Q: How often should I make a continuation bet?
A: A continuation bet's success depends on the board texture, your image at the table, and your opponent's playing styles. The PartyPoker MyGame training tool suggests a continuation betting frequency of anywhere between 58-70%.
Q: Are turn raises and check-raises always made with strong hands?
A: Not always, but most of the time, a raise or check-raise on the turn is made with a powerful hand. This is particularly true in micro and low-stakes games, where players adopt a more straightforward approach to poker.
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